Use of Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) and Classification and Regression Tree (CART) Data Mining Algorithms to Predict Live Body Weight of Tswana Sheep

Abstract

This study was conducted to (i) determine the association between live body weight (BW) and biometric traits, (ii) examine the effect of biometric traits on BW of Tswana sheep using MARS and CART data mining algorithms, (iii) compare the performance of the algorithms and, finally, select the best algorithm for predicting BW in Tswana sheep. BW and sixteen biometric traits were measured from 392 Tswana sheep (males = 85 and females = 307) aged three to four years. Pearson's correlation coefficients were used to establish the relationship between BW and biometric traits. The goodness of fit criteria were computed to assess the predictive performance of the data mining algorithms and select the best-fit model for predicting BW. The results showed that BW had a positive and significant correlation with heart girth (HG) (r = 0.99); thus, HG was used as a sole predictor of BW. The goodness of fit results indicated that MARS has a higher predictive performance than the CART algorithm, suggesting that the MARS algorithm can be used to predict BW Tswana sheep. These findings are an important statistical tool for the selection and concurrent improvement of useful biometric traits in genetic improvement programs to improve BW in Tswana sheep.