``Urban Expansion and Its Relationship to the Development of New Cities (Applied Study on the New Egyptian Cities)''

Abstract

The Egyptian government adopted a policy of establishing new cities to address urban challenges such as rapid population growth and unbalanced population distribution, with the aim of redistributing residents and achieving more balanced urban development. However, many of these cities have not achieved their planned population growth, despite the continued issuance of urban expansion decisions, raising questions about the alignment of these decisions with demographic and developmental realities. This study aims to evaluate urban expansion decisions in Egypt's new cities by analyzing their relationship with urban development factors and the city's capacity to attract residents, as well as examining their association with actual population growth. The study also draws on selected international experiences (France and Brazil). The methodology includes Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to derive a composite indicator representing the overall developmental condition of each city, and Simple Linear Regression to test the relationship between development, population growth, and urban expansion.