article · Discover Food
Food security is essential for human well-being and economic stability, particularly within fragile and conflict-affected nations. Focusing on Somalia, an analysis of time-series data from 1990 to 2022 evaluated how food security is influenced by remittances, institutional quality, economic growth, and foreign direct investment. Using Kernel Regularised Least Squares and autoregressive distributed lag bound test methods, the investigation revealed distinct drivers of food security. Economic growth demonstrates a positive, statistically significant effect on food security. Conversely, remittances and institutional quality negatively affect food security outcomes. Foreign direct investment shows no statistically significant relationship with food security. To address these challenges, the findings advocate for targeted policy measures, including pairing remittances with social protection mechanisms, strengthening local institutional delivery, and driving inclusive economic expansion focused on domestic food production and employment.
In fragile and conflict-affected environments, understanding the structural drivers of nutrition and food access is vital. This analysis demonstrates that relying on remittances or current institutional frameworks can hinder food security, highlighting the necessity for policies that drive domestic economic growth and local agricultural production to build resilient communities.
The abstract does not indicate an application pathway, as it focuses on macroeconomic and institutional policy analysis rather than commercial products or services.
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Food security plays a critical role in sustaining human well-being and economic stability, as reliable access to sufficient, nutritious food supports health, productive livelihoods, and communities’ ability to cope with shocks, especially in fragile and conflict-affected contexts. Empirical evidence on this topic remains scarce, particularly for least developed and fragile countries such as Somalia. In response to this gap, this study examines the effects of remittances, institutional quality, economic growth, and foreign direct investment on food security in Somalia, using time-series observations spanning 1990–2022. The study employs Kernel Regularized Least Squares (KRLS) and the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound test method. The results show that remittances, economic growth, and institutional quality have statistically significant effects, while foreign direct investment does not exhibit a significant relationship with food security. In addition, the study reveals that remittance and institutional quality hinder food security in Somalia. In contrast, economic growth improves food security in Somalia. The study suggests policy reforms that strengthen food security in Somalia by complementing remittances with effective social protection, locally delivered institutional support, and inclusive economic growth linked to job creation and domestic food production.
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DOI: 10.1007/s44187-026-01245-9
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