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article · Health Policy and Planning

Modern contraceptive availability and stockouts: a multi-country analysis of trends in supply and consumption

202029 citationsOpen accessUniversité de Kinshasa (UNIKIN)

In plain language

Around 214 million women of reproductive age lack adequate access to contraception, with method stockouts considered a principal cause. This research analysed quarterly service delivery point data collected between 2017 and 2019 across urban areas in Burkina Faso, Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Nigeria, and India. Across both public and private sectors, the vast majority of facilities offering family planning maintained at least one modern contraceptive method in stock. However, stockout patterns were highly dynamic and varied considerably depending on the specific method and sector. Although long-acting reversible contraceptives experienced more limited availability and distribution compared to short-term methods, they consistently generated a larger proportion of couple years of protection against pregnancy. The results underline the necessity of involving the private sector to fulfil national and global family planning targets.

Key takeaways

  • Most family planning service delivery points maintained at least one modern contraceptive method in stock across all surveyed countries.
  • Contraceptive stockout frequencies were dynamic and varied according to the specific method and whether the facility was public or private.
  • Long-acting reversible contraceptives had lower availability than other methods but consistently provided a greater share of pregnancy protection.
  • Engaging the private health sector is essential for reaching national and international family planning goals.

Why it matters

Contraceptive stockouts directly hinder family planning access for millions of women worldwide. By identifying how shortages fluctuate across public and private clinics, this work shows where supply systems fail. Crucially, it demonstrates that long-acting methods provide the greatest level of protection despite being less accessible, pointing to an urgent need to secure these specific supply chains in urban centres.

Commercialisation angle

This research provides applied supply chain intelligence for pharmaceutical distributors, logistics software developers, and private healthcare operators. Stakeholders can use the findings to design targeted distribution models and inventory management systems that mitigate stockouts of high-impact contraceptives in urban clinics. The evidence is applied and tested, offering immediate utility for procurement and delivery planning in health systems.

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Abstract

Approximately 214 million women of reproductive age lack adequate access to contraception for their family planning needs, yet patterns of contraceptive availability have seldom been examined. With growing demand for contraceptives in some areas, low contraceptive method availability and stockouts are thought to be major drivers of unmet need among women of reproductive age, though evidence for this is limited. In this research, we examined trends in stockouts, method availability and consumption of specific contraceptive methods in urban areas of four sub-Saharan African countries (Burkina Faso, Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya and Nigeria) and India. We used representative survey data from the Performance Monitoring for Action Agile Project that were collected in quarterly intervals at service delivery points (SDP) stratified by sector (public vs private), with all countries having five to six quarters of surveys between 2017 and 2019. Among SDPs that offer family planning, we calculated the percentage offering at least one type of modern contraceptive method (MCM) for each country and quarter, and by sector. We examined trends in the percentage of SDPs with stockouts and which currently offer condoms, emergency contraception, oral pills, injectables, intrauterine devices and implants. We also examined trends of client visits for specific methods and the resulting estimated protection from pregnancy by quarter and country. Across all countries, the vast majority of SDPs had at least one type of MCM in-stock during the study period. We find that the frequency of stockouts varies by method and sector and is much more dynamic than previously thought. While the availability and distribution of long-acting reversible contraceptives (LARCs) were limited compared to other methods across countries, LARCs nonetheless consistently accounted for a larger portion of couple years of protection. We discuss findings that show the importance of engaging the private sector towards achieving global and national family planning goals.

Research topics

  • Global Maternal and Child Health
  • Reproductive Health and Contraception
  • Adolescent Sexual and Reproductive Health

Sustainable Development Goals

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DOI: 10.1093/heapol/czaa197

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