article · Results in Applied Mathematics
In this work, a researcher develops SHEIQRD (Susceptible–Stay-at-home–Exposed-Infected–Quarantine–Recovery–Death) coronavirus pandemic, spread model. The disease-free and endemic equilibrium points are computed and analyzed. The basic reproduction number R0 is acquired, and its sensitivity analysis conducted. COVID-19 pandemic spread dies out when R0≤1 and persists in the community whenever R0>1. Efficient stay-at-home rate, high coverage of precise identification and isolation of exposed and infected individuals, reduction of transmission, and stay-at-home return rate can mitigate COVID-19 pandemic. Finally, theoretical analysis and numerical results are shown to be consistent.
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DOI: 10.1016/j.rinam.2020.100123
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