Investigating Respiratory Disease Transmission Patterns Around the Figuil Cement Works

Abstract

The objective of this research is to examine the dissemination of respiratory illnesses, exacerbated by the airborne pollutants emitted by the Figuil cement works, among the local population residing in the vicinity. The primary objective is to examine the impact of pollution, particularly the emission of fine particles and noxious gases, on the transmission of respiratory diseases such as asthma, chronic bronchitis and other lung disorders. The modified SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered) epidemiological model is employed for the analysis of transmission dynamics within the community. This model incorporates environmental, health and demographic variables, thereby enabling the simulation of disease transmission as a function of varying pollution levels. Particular emphasis is placed on vulnerable groups, such as children and the elderly, due to immunosenescence, who are more likely to suffer from the adverse effects of pollution. The results will facilitate the formulation of efficacious strategies, including the implementation of awareness-raising campaigns and the introduction of sophisticated systems for the filtration and capture of pollutants at their source, such as fine particle filters or devices for the reduction of nitrogen oxides (NOx), with the objective of limiting the spread of respiratory diseases in at-risk areas and the formulation of suitable control measures.