article · Discover Sustainability
This research evaluates the long-term relationships connecting environmental degradation with key demographic and economic factors, specifically gross domestic product, gross capital formation, agricultural land, and population growth in Somalia. Using unit root tests to address variable stationarity, an autoregressive distributed lag model was applied to secure robust estimations over the long run. The results demonstrate that rises in population and economic growth correlate with increased environmental harm. Conversely, capital investments in infrastructure and the expansion of agricultural land are associated with a reduction in these negative environmental outcomes. The evidence highlights that while demographic expansion and rising national income drive ecological strain, targeted infrastructure investments and agricultural practices offer viable avenues to lessen these pressures.
Balancing economic development with conservation is a major challenge for developing economies. By identifying how population growth and rising national output worsen environmental degradation, this analysis reveals the pressure points facing fragile ecosystems. Crucially, it demonstrates that capital investments in infrastructure and agriculture can alleviate these harms, offering clear guidance for policymakers designing sustainable development strategies.
The abstract does not indicate a commercial application pathway, as it focuses on macroeconomic and demographic modelling rather than product or service development.
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This study tries to provide a comprehensive analysis of the long-run relationships between environmental degradation and major economic and demographic variables such as GDP, GCF, agricultural land, and population growth. Initially, we conducted Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron unit root tests to assess the stationarity of the variables. Since some of the variables are integrated in mixed, it became important to guarantee that the ARDL model provided robust long-run estimations by cautiously controlling the stationarity issue. The findings indicate that both GDP growth and population increase are linked to greater environmental degradation. On the other hand, investments in infrastructure and the expansion of agricultural land appear to help reduce some of these adverse effects. In particular, while economic growth and population pressures significantly contribute to environmental challenges, strategic investments in infrastructure and sustainable agriculture show promise in mitigating these impacts.
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DOI: 10.1007/s43621-024-00786-2
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