Enhancing pressure transient analysis in reservoir characterization through deep learning neural networks

Abstract

Deep learning neural networks exhibit remarkable efficiency in numerous tasks within machine learning applications across various disciplines, including reservoir engineering. Traditional pressure transient analysis (PTA) methodologies, however, are challenged by limitations such as human error in accurately estimating critical reservoir parameters like permeability and wellbore damage (skin). In this study, we evaluate the efficiency and accuracy of various machine learning models in pressure transient analysis (PTA) tasks. Our investigation initially focused on integrating Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to enhance the precision in estimating reservoir parameters and identifying reservoir models. However, through comprehensive testing and validation using simulated well-test data and out-of-distribution samples, we discovered that tree-based models, specifically XGBoost and Random Forest, exhibit superior performance, particularly in generalization tasks. These models outperform CNN-LSTM and 1D-CNN models, demonstrating enhanced robustness and accuracy in handling diverse and unseen data, thereby addressing traditional challenges in pressure transient analysis more effectively. Moreover, Savitzky–Golay Filters were used to handle the noise problems of data, and this method proved effective for data with noise levels up to a standard deviation of 2. Compared with other models, the XGBoost model has a better performance in reservoir model identification with an out-of-distribution accuracy of 92%. On the other hand, Random Forest showed a remarkable result in the task of reservoir parameter estimation, especially for the permeability and skin with out-of-distribution $$R^2$$ of 98% and 97%, respectively. The findings of this study can help for a better understanding of the different deep learning models and their applications in pressure transient analysis. Specifically, the superior performance of the tree-based models in overcoming traditional pressure transient analysis challenges demonstrates their potential to enhance reservoir characterization predictions. Employing these advanced machine learning techniques can significantly reduce human error, increase the accuracy of parameter estimation, and improve the analysis process, thereby aiding strategic decision-making in reservoir management