Data-Based Estimation of the Dynamic Reliability and Performance Indicator of an Industrial Manufacturing System

Abstract

The aim is to develop a more simple and effective method's performance and dynamic reliability assessment for complex industrial systems. By using the operating data of the industrial system characterized by a strong desynchronization and applying to it prediction algorithms of artificial intelligence applied to the time series, the model will have learned from the behavior of the complex manufacturing system allowing the operator or decision-maker to better orientate the maintenance, production, and quality policies. Furthermore, we propose this approach to avoid tedious mathematical methods related to dynamic reliability calculations and performance evaluation to make forecasts of the company's operation over a long period by identifying future bottlenecks in the system's behavior. The low-performance indicators and irrelevant reliability presented by many third-generation industries are due to the lack of efficient and simple tools for reliability assessment taking into account the dynamic aspect of the different elements of the production chain, maintenance department, production department, and quality department. We propose to develop a model that will abstract from conventional, complex, and inefficient mathematical methods for systems subject to combinatorial explosion problems in the manufacturing industry.