CardioRiskNet: A Hybrid AI-Based Model for Explainable Risk Prediction and Prognosis in Cardiovascular Disease

Abstract

The global prevalence of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) as a leading cause of death highlights the imperative need for refined risk assessment and prognostication methods. The traditional approaches, including the Framingham Risk Score, blood tests, imaging techniques, and clinical assessments, although widely utilized, are hindered by limitations such as a lack of precision, the reliance on static risk variables, and the inability to adapt to new patient data, thereby necessitating the exploration of alternative strategies. In response, this study introduces CardioRiskNet, a hybrid AI-based model designed to transcend these limitations. The proposed CardioRiskNet consists of seven parts: data preprocessing, feature selection and encoding, eXplainable AI (XAI) integration, active learning, attention mechanisms, risk prediction and prognosis, evaluation and validation, and deployment and integration. At first, the patient data are preprocessed by cleaning the data, handling the missing values, applying a normalization process, and extracting the features. Next, the most informative features are selected and the categorical variables are converted into a numerical form. Distinctively, CardioRiskNet employs active learning to iteratively select informative samples, enhancing its learning efficacy, while its attention mechanism dynamically focuses on the relevant features for precise risk prediction. Additionally, the integration of XAI facilitates interpretability and transparency in the decision-making processes. According to the experimental results, CardioRiskNet demonstrates superior performance in terms of accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and F1-Score, with values of 98.7%, 98.7%, 99%, and 98.7%, respectively. These findings show that CardioRiskNet can accurately assess and prognosticate the CVD risk, demonstrating the power of active learning and AI to surpass the conventional methods. Thus, CardioRiskNet's novel approach and high performance advance the management of CVDs and provide healthcare professionals a powerful tool for patient care.