Building renewable energy electricity production for climate risk mitigation: a mathematical logistic growth model perspective

Abstract

Climate threat intensifies the urgency for production of sustainable energy from the renewable resources for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and enhance resilience. Using the historical data from the period of 2000 to 2024, this study investigates renewable energy electricity production as a mitigation strategy to climate risks, modelled through a mathematical logistic growth framework. Findings unveil critical transition points beyond which the growth of renewable energy electricity production may stabilize or decline when subjected on positive and negative impacts. Furthermore, the results show, fossil energy utilized mostly at σ = 1.65 thereby increasing the tension of climate disruptions as observed at maximum emission of λ = 0.019 . In the phase from 2000 to 2010, the results show the improvement of renewable technologies from γ = 0.19 to γ = 0.23 (2010–2020) in which the reduction of the dependence on fossil fuels technologies increased. However, the improvement in renewable technologies enhanced the reduction of fossil fuel technologies dependence and therefore, minimize the climate risks. This study suggests an aggressive investment in renewable grid modernization for pushing the energy system past this threshold, fostering self-sustaining growth in renewable technologies for climate risk mitigation