Bridging Behavioral Insights and Automated Trading: An Internet of Behaviors Approach for Enhanced Financial Decision-Making

Abstract

Effective investment decision-making in today’s volatile financial market demands the integration of advanced predictive analytics, alternative data sources, and behavioral insights. This paper introduces an innovative Internet of Behaviors (IoB) ecosystem that integrates real-time data acquisition, advanced feature engineering, predictive modeling, explainability, automated portfolio management, and an intelligent decision support engine to enhance financial decision-making. Our framework effectively captures complex temporal dependencies in financial data by combining robust technical indicators and sentiment-driven metrics—derived from BERT-based sentiment analysis—with a multi-layer LSTM forecasting model. To enhance the model’s performance and transparency and foster user trust, we apply XAI methods, namely, TimeSHAP and TIME. The IoB ecosystem also proposes a portfolio management engine that translates the predictions into actionable strategies and a continuous feedback loop, enabling the system to adapt and refine its strategy in real time. Empirical evaluations demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach: the LSTM forecasting model achieved an RMSE of 0.0312, an MAE of 0.0250, an MSE of 0.0010, and a directional accuracy of 95.24% on TSLA stock returns. Furthermore, the portfolio management algorithm successfully transformed an initial balance of USD 15,000 into a final portfolio value of USD 21,824.12, yielding a net profit of USD 6824.12. These results highlight the potential of IoB-driven methodologies to revolutionize financial services by enabling more personalized, transparent, and adaptive investment solutions.