Bayesian and Classical Inferences of Two-Weighted Exponential Distribution and Its Applications to HIV Survival Data

Abstract

The paper presents a statistical model based on the two-weighted exponential distribution (TWED) to examine censored Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) survival information. Identifying HIV as a disability, the study endorses an inclusive and sustainable health policy framework through some predictive findings. The TWED provides an accurate representation of the inherent hazard patterns and also improves the modelling of survival data. The parameter estimation is achieved in both a classical maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and a Bayesian approach. Bayesian inference can be carried out under general entropy loss conditions and the symmetric squared error loss function through the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. Based on the symmetric properties of the inverse of the Fisher information matrix, the asymptotic confidence intervals (ACLs) for the MLEs are constructed. Moreover, two-sided symmetric credible intervals (CRIs) of Bayesian estimates are also constructed based on the MCMC results that are based on symmetric normal proposals. The simulation studies are very important for indicating the correctness and probability of a statistical estimator. Implementing the model on actual HIV data illustrates its usefulness. Altogether, the paper supports the idea that statistics play an essential role in promoting disability-friendly and sustainable research in the field of public health in general.