African Swine Fever (ASF) Insurance Premium Estimate Test at Mont-Ngafula in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC): A Model Under Construction

Abstract

In order to estimate the average insurable pig numbers held by breeders, their monetary value, the ASF insurance premium in the event of adoption of the product, a survey was carried out from January 2 to April 10, 2021, among 63 pig farmers. from Mont Ngafula in Kinshasa, DRC to collect information relating to the construction of a future model of local management of this risk. The average insurable pig population owned by a breeder from Mont-Ngafula in Kinshasa is <i>8,571 ± 3.48</i> and this represents an average monetary value of <i>2.604 ± 1.092,87</i> with an average ASF insurance premium of <i>169.27 ± 71.03 $.</i> The correlation matrix showed a strong link between the pig workforce, monetary value of the pig herd, ASF insurance premium, frankness and indemnification. The model of linear regression explains <i>77.09%</i> of the link between the insurable pig population held by a breeder and the premium payable in the event of adoption of ASF insurance. The equation for the line is <i>Y = 17.916 x + 15.709</i>. The Multiple Correspondence Analysis (MCA) in turn shows that there are three variables that have a higher correlation for the management of this ASF and these are the level of study <i>(0.65),</i> the veterinary consultation <i>(0.55)</i> and the payment. of the PPA premium <i>(0.42)</i>. The alignment of the first bisector for all variables suggests that they are normally distributed. Pig farmers complain about the lack of funding and support from the state services in charge of the pig sector.