MARATTO

article · Advances in Continuous and Discrete Models

A computational-analytic framework for assessing stationarity and ergodicity for a stochastic SIS epidemic model

2026Open accessUniversité Ibn Zohr

Abstract

This paper presents a stochastic $\mathcal{SIS}$ (Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible) epidemic model with generalized incidence function and two separate Brownian noise sources. Using analytical methods from stochastic calculus, we derive explicit threshold conditions governing disease extinction and endemic persistence. These theoretical results are validated through systematic numerical simulations, including phase-space trajectory analysis under varying epidemiological scenarios. A central contribution is the development of a novel computational-analytic framework to rigorously verify the model’s long-term statistical properties: (i) stationarity through distributional convergence tests, and (ii) ergodicity via empirical moment estimation. The combined analytical-numerical approach provides actionable insights for epidemic modeling while advancing methodology for stochastic dynamical systems.

Research topics

  • COVID-19 epidemiological studies
  • Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
  • Evolution and Genetic Dynamics

Sustainable Development Goals

Read the original research

This page summarises published work. The authoritative version sits with the publisher.

DOI: 10.1186/s13662-025-04053-0

Is something wrong with this record? Report it or request removal.

Discussion

Discuss this research

Have you built on this work, tried to replicate it, or seen it applied in practice? Share what you know. Verified researchers and MARATTO™ domain experts can open a discussion, and any member can reply. Contributions are reviewed before they appear.

No discussion yet. Open the first thread.